OCTOPUSINSTITUTE

FROM CONVERGENCE TO DIVERGENCE: Russian and Serbian Strategies in Montenegro

Danilo Kalezic University of Montenegro Kalezic13@gmail.com Overview: This analysis examines the evolving nature of Russian and Serbian influence in Montenegro and argues that their strategic interests are increasingly diverging as the country advances toward European Union membership. Drawing on the literature on authoritarian diffusion, external anti-democratic influence, and the black knight effect, the paper analyzes

FROM CONVERGENCE TO DIVERGENCE: Russian and Serbian Strategies in Montenegro Read More »

1986 – 2026: Four Decades, the Same Serbia

From the SANU Memorandum to the “Serbian World”: Victimhood, Nationalism, and the Threat to Regional Peace. Gjon Culaj, Associate Fellow at the “Octopus” Institute Four decades after the Memorandum of the Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts (SANU), the question that still merits attention is: how does Serbian nationalism conceive Kosovo, Serbs outside Serbia’s borders,

1986 – 2026: Four Decades, the Same Serbia Read More »

ORWELL 2.0: THE MODEL THAT GIVES EVEN LIES AN INFERIORITY COMPLEX

The Serbian Strategy for “Capturing the Truth” in the Digital Age Author: Dr. Arben Fetoshi – Director at Institute for Hybrid Warfare “OCTOPUS” A hybrid strategy that simultaneously projects victimhood and heroism. It wraps lamentation and triumphalist framing into a single, calculated narrative designed to deceive and mobilize at the same time. One only needs

ORWELL 2.0: THE MODEL THAT GIVES EVEN LIES AN INFERIORITY COMPLEX Read More »

COERCIVE DIPLOAMCY AS THE ONLY SOLUTION IN THE KOSOVO-SERBIA DIALOGUE

Author: Gjon Culaj, Associate Fellow at the “Octopus” Institute Coercive diplomacy is a concept that was developed primarily after the Cold War within the fields of strategic studies and international relations. Unlike the direct use of military force, it seeks to achieve political objectives by combining diplomatic negotiations with a credible threat of the use

COERCIVE DIPLOAMCY AS THE ONLY SOLUTION IN THE KOSOVO-SERBIA DIALOGUE Read More »

MUNICIPALITIES IN THE STRATEGY OF THE “SERBIAN WORLD”

Serbia’s Operation Against Kosovo, Montenegro, and the West Author: Dr. Arben Fetoshi – Director at Institute for Hybrid Warfare Studies “OCTOPUS” Although the recognition of a state falls within the exclusive competence of central government institutions, and the declarations adopted by the municipalities of Zeta and, more recently, Pljevlja on the “withdrawal of recognition” of Kosovo

MUNICIPALITIES IN THE STRATEGY OF THE “SERBIAN WORLD” Read More »

THE SERBIAN ORTHODOX CHURCH “DEFENDS” PAUNOVIC

Institute “Octopus” responds to the statement of the Eparchy of Raska and Prizren The Institute for Hybrid Warfare Studies “Octopus” assesses the statement issued by the Eparchy of Raska and Prizren as a compilation of Serbia’s manipulative narratives, which implicitly defends Minister Paunović. Following strong international reactions to the minister’s statement on the “ethnic cleansing

THE SERBIAN ORTHODOX CHURCH “DEFENDS” PAUNOVIC Read More »

THE WESTERN BALKANS IN NATO’S ORBIT

Author: Dr. Arben Fetoshi – Director at Institute for Hybrid Warfare “OCTOPUS” The Allies’ Declaration from the Ankara Summit (7–8 July) demonstrated NATO’s strategic clarity in addressing today’s global security challenges. By reaffirming its “ironclad commitment” to collective defence under Article 5 of the Washington Treaty, the Alliance responded to concerns about a potential transatlantic

THE WESTERN BALKANS IN NATO’S ORBIT Read More »

The Limits of European Diplomacy in the Kosovo – Serbia Dialogue

Author: Dr. Gjon Culaj, Associate Fellow at the “Octopus” Institute Since the launch of the European Union-facilitated dialogue in 2011, expectations were that the process would become the primary mechanism for the normalization of relations between Kosovo and Serbia and for the consolidation of peace and stability in the Western Balkans. However, after more than

The Limits of European Diplomacy in the Kosovo – Serbia Dialogue Read More »